Institutional Repository
Technical University of Crete
Technical University of Crete
EN
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EL
| URI | http://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/78FA6BDC-8096-41DB-9AC7-2D1F6133AE37 | - |
| Identifier | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.01.044 | - |
| Identifier | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221718300808 | - |
| Language | en | - |
| Extent | 12 pages | en |
| Title | Forecasting the success of a new tourism service by a neuro-fuzzy technique | en |
| Creator | Atsalakis Georgios | en |
| Creator | Ατσαλακης Γεωργιος | el |
| Creator | Atsalaki Ioanna | en |
| Creator | Ατσαλακη Ιωαννα | el |
| Creator | Zopounidis Konstantinos | en |
| Creator | Ζοπουνιδης Κωνσταντινος | el |
| Publisher | Elsevier | en |
| Content Summary | This paper presents a novel approach to forecasting the success of a newly launched service in tourism by using a hybrid intelligence system called the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Recent studies have addressed the problem of modeling the success of a newly launched service by using different methods including artificial intelligence and model-based approaches. The ANFIS combines both the learning capabilities of a neural network and the reasoning capabilities of fuzzy logic to give enhanced forecasting capabilities, as compared to using a single methodology alone. Data collected through a questionnaire that concerns the variables of developing a new service in tourism have been used as inputs to the model. A new technique that is achieved by using a method that cycles through all the inputs and builds ANFIS models has been used for input reduction and input selection. The final model has been trained by leaving out a part of the data. The model was then evaluated by the data that were left out. The forecasting accuracy of the ANFIS model is evaluated by calculating well-known performance measures. The results have shown that ANFIS provides a prudent way to capture uncertainty in relationships among input variables and output variables to forecast the successful launch of a new tourism service. A comparative analysis with other methodologies confirms the superiority of the proposed approach. | en |
| Type of Item | Peer-Reviewed Journal Publication | en |
| Type of Item | Δημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτές | el |
| License | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en |
| Date of Item | 2019-08-29 | - |
| Date of Publication | 2018 | - |
| Subject | ANFIS | en |
| Subject | Artificial intelligence | en |
| Subject | Fuzzy sets | en |
| Subject | Neuro-fuzzy systems | en |
| Subject | Tourism service forecasting | en |
| Bibliographic Citation | G. S. Atsalakis, I. G. Atsalaki and C. Zopounidis, "Forecasting the success of a new tourism service by a neuro-fuzzy technique," Eur. J. Oper. Res., vol. 268, no. 2, pp. 716-727, Aug. 2018. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.01.044 | el |
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