Ιδρυματικό Αποθετήριο
Πολυτεχνείο Κρήτης
Πολυτεχνείο Κρήτης
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| URI | http://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/8AFEFC3A-355D-47E5-B5B7-168942BC8F01 | - |
| Αναγνωριστικό | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-00148-5 | - |
| Αναγνωριστικό | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-020-00148-5 | - |
| Γλώσσα | en | - |
| Τίτλος | Predicting global patterns of long-term climate change from short-term simulations using machine learning | en |
| Δημιουργός | Mansfield Laura | en |
| Δημιουργός | Nowack Peer | en |
| Δημιουργός | Kasoar Matthew | en |
| Δημιουργός | Everitt Richard | en |
| Δημιουργός | Collins William | en |
| Δημιουργός | Voulgarakis Apostolos | en |
| Δημιουργός | Βουλγαρακης Αποστολος | el |
| Εκδότης | Springer Nature | en |
| Περίληψη | Understanding and estimating regional climate change under different anthropogenic emission scenarios is pivotal for informing societal adaptation and mitigation measures. However, the high computational complexity of state-of-the-art climate models remains a central bottleneck in this endeavour. Here we introduce a machine learning approach, which utilises a unique dataset of existing climate model simulations to learn relationships between short-term and long-term temperature responses to different climate forcing scenarios. This approach not only has the potential to accelerate climate change projections by reducing the costs of scenario computations, but also helps uncover early indicators of modelled long-term climate responses, which is of relevance to climate change detection, predictability, and attribution. Our results highlight challenges and opportunities for data-driven climate modelling, especially concerning the incorporation of even larger model datasets in the future. We therefore encourage extensive data sharing among research institutes to build ever more powerful climate response emulators, and thus to enable faster climate change projections. | en |
| Τύπος | Peer-Reviewed Journal Publication | en |
| Τύπος | Δημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτές | el |
| Άδεια Χρήσης | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en |
| Ημερομηνία | 2021-04-20 | - |
| Ημερομηνία Δημοσίευσης | 2020 | - |
| Θεματική Κατηγορία | Atmospheric science | en |
| Θεματική Κατηγορία | Climate change | en |
| Θεματική Κατηγορία | Climate-change impacts | en |
| Θεματική Κατηγορία | Climate-change mitigation | en |
| Θεματική Κατηγορία | Projection and prediction | en |
| Βιβλιογραφική Αναφορά | L. A. Mansfield, P. J. Nowack, M. Kasoar, R. G. Everitt, W. J. Collins and A. Voulgarakis, “Predicting global patterns of long-term climate change from short-term simulations using machine learning,” npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., vol. 3, no. 1, Nov. 2020. doi: 10.1038/s41612-020-00148-5 | en |
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